Sunday, December 4, 2022

NCAAF 2022 Rankings after Week 14

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings

Updated: Week 14, 4 DEC 2022
(Delta Calc'd from Week 13, 28 NOV 2022)
Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.

(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)


Notes:
  • My top 4 teams after conference championships are:
    • #1 Georgia
    • #2 michigan
    • #3 TCU
    • #4 Tennessee
  • Just behind the top 4 are
    • #5 Ohio State
    • #6 Kansas St
  • Georgia is far and away the top rated team. At 144.59, this is one of the highest rated teams I've had entering the playoffs
  • TCU remains in the top 4, only dropping one spot after losing to #6 Kansas St.
  • Tennessee ranked above Ohio State to get into my top 4 might surprise you. However, despite its two losses, Tennessee has objectively achieved ever slightly more than Ohio State this season. Ohio State is not helped by the Big Ten as a whole having a down year and barely has two top-25 wins (with ND clinging to the top 25 at #23). Tennessee has three, and boasts at top 25 strength of schedule (OSU's isn't even in the top 50).
  • My prediction for the CFP committee's top 4:
    • #1 Georgia
    • #2 michigan
    • #3 TCU
    • #4 Ohio State
    • I think the committee will put Ohio State at #4 for two reasons, despite TCU's loss in the Big 12 championship game
      • They will use it to send a message to Ohio State that they literally backed into the playoffs and aren't thrilled about including them, but must because... who else could you justify? (they can't justify Tennessee, because they (biasedly) had Alabama ranked above them last week, and neither one of them played).
      • They are afraid to have a Big Ten rematch so soon in the semifinals. I wouldn't be surprised if the CFP committee has received phone calls from michigan people asking for them to avoid the rematch. michigan has little to gain from a rematch and everything to lose. If they win... yea they should have... they just beat OSU in Ohio Stadium. If they lose... it someone negates their previous victory and sends them home.
  • Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conference:
    • ACC: 1 // 2 
    • Big 12: 2 // 2
    • Big Ten: 2 // 3
    • Pac 12: 2 // 6
    • SEC: 3 // 8

Poll Comparison


As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!