NFL Rankings after Week 9

NFL Rankings 

Through Week 9: (6 NOV 2018)
(delta calc'd from Week: 8 (29 OCT 2018)

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NCCAF 2018 Rankings after Week 10

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings

Updated: Week 10, 5 NOV 2018

(Delta Calc'd from Week 9, 29 OCT 2018)

(Click here for a more detailed explanation of my NCAAF rating system)

Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.

(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)

Notes:

• Alabama's big win over LSU vaulted themselves to #1 in my ratings. LSU drops 4 spots to #6 after the loss.
• Georgia takes the #2 spot after defeating #7 Kentucky
• Kentucky is #7? What in the world in college football is going on? Kentucky is ranked #12 in the AP and coaches poll. My ratings are giving them more credit than the human polls (possibly because of stigma?). The Wildcats have the 7th best Strength of Record and 15th toughest schedule, according to my ratings.
• A couple of teams are now climbing in my rating after the past couple of weeks. #10 West Virginia and #12 UCF both had solid gains after winning in Week 10. The AP/Coaches have them at 7th/8th (WVU), and 11th/11th (UCF).
• SEC dominance. The SEC holds 5 of the top 10 spots... And 10 of the top 25. It looks like the SEC is actually earning their hype this year... So far, anyway... Also, take a look at my conference ratings below. The SEC has pulled away from the other conferences by a larger margin than I've seen since tracking the conferences.
• Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conference:
• ACC: 1 // 3 
• Big Ten: 1 // 4
• Big 12: 2 // 3
• Pac 12: 0 // 2
• SEC: 5 // 10

Poll Comparison

(check back when the CFP committee releases their ranking... I'll update this table)

Conference Comparison

As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!

NFL Rankings After Week 8

NFL Rankings 

Through Week 8: (29 OCT 2018)
(delta calc'd from Week: 7 (22 OCT 2018)

Comments? Leave some below!

NCAAF 2018 Rankings after Week 9

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings

Updated: Week 9, 29 OCT 2018

(Delta Calc'd from Week 8, 22 OCT 2018)

(Click here for a more detailed explanation of my NCAAF rating system)

Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.

(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)

Notes:

• At first glance, it might seem strange that Notre Dame not just got passed by LSU to drop to #3, but ND lost a little over a point despite beating #115 Navy. The thing to remember is that my ratings are iterative... meaning that it factors in learning from opponents that a team has played earlier in the season. As an example for ND here, their 2nd best win just lost their third game of the season (and lost almost 11 points). This negatively affects ND because as we learn more about the teams ND has defeated (in this specific case, Stanford), they now receive less of a rating gain from that victory over Stanford because Stanford is not rated as high as they were last week. This, along with ND's other opponents' losses, outweighed the marginal rating boost they got from defeated #115 Navy. 
• A more clear example of this can be seen by looking at the teams with Bye weeks. For example, Ohio State gained a little over a point due to the additional (net positive) learning from its opponent from last week to this week. Conversely, michigan lost almost 2 points on a Bye week due to the additional (net negative) learning from its opponents.
• Washington State is ranked #10 in my ratings and the AP poll, and #11 in the Coaches poll.
• Kentucky is #6? What in the world in college football is going on? Kentucky is ranked #11 and #12 in the AP and coaches poll, respectively. My ratings are giving them more credit than the human polls (possibly because of stigma?). The Wildcats have the 6th best Strength of Record and 26th toughest schedule, according to my ratings.
• The human polls are giving UCF more credit than my ratings. I have them at #24, while both the AP and Coaches polls have them at #9. Perhaps the human polls are over correcting last year's mistake of having them rating too low (recall that in last year's rankings, I had them in my Top 5 for most of the season, while the human polls had them ranked outside the top 10, or worse. Then, they defeated Auburn in a bowl game. Auburn, by the way, was the only team to beat Alabama last year).
• SEC dominance. The SEC holds 5 of the top 10 spots... It looks like the SEC is actually earning their hype this year... So far, anyway...
• Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conference:
• ACC: 1 // 3 
• Big Ten: 1 // 5
• Big 12: 1 // 3
• Pac 12: 1 // 3
• SEC: 5 // 8

Poll Comparison

Conference Comparison

As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!

NFL Rankings after Week 7

NFL Rankings 

Through Week 7: (22 OCT 2018)
(delta calc'd from Week: 6 (15 OCT 2018)

Comments? Leave some below!

NCAAF 2018 Rankings after Week 8

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings

Updated: Week 8, 22 OCT 2018

(Delta Calc'd from Week 7, 15 OCT 2018)

(Click here for a more detailed explanation of my NCAAF rating system)

Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.

(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)

Notes:

• Ohio State drops to #17 after losing to  #38 Purdue. 
• Clemson edges out ND for the #1 spot, but the margin is very small: only 0.17 points.
• LSU, Alabama, and michigan round out the top 5.
• Kentucky is #7? What in the world in college football is going on? Kentucky is ranked #12 and #14 in the AP and coaches poll, respectively. My ratings are giving them more credit than the human polls (possibly because of stigma?). The Wildcats have the 7th best Strength of Record and 27th toughest schedule, according to my ratings.
• SEC dominance. The SEC holds 5 of the top 10 spots... I looks like the SEC is actually earning their hype this year... So far, anyway...
• Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conference:
• ACC: 1 // 4 
• Big Ten: 1 // 3
• Big 12: 2 // 2
• Pac 12: 0 // 5
• SEC: 5 // 6

Poll Comparison

Conference Comparison

As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!

NCAAF 2017 Final Rankings

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings

Updated: FINAL, 26 NOV 2017

(Delta Calc'd from Week 14, 26 NOV 2017)

(Click here for a more detailed explanation of my NCAAF rating system)

Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.

(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)

Ratings Notes:

• Ohio State moves up to #3 after defeating #13 USC. By the way, #13 USC was the Buckeye's 4th best opponent they've defeated all season... yet OSU was not in the playoffs.
• Alabama finishes at #1 (moving up 7 spots from my pre-bowl ratings) after beating now-ranked #7 Clemson and #2 Georgia. Those were Alabama's best wins of the season, beating out #20 LSU...
• Georgia finishes 2nd, 0.50 points above Ohio State.
• And UCF... finishes at #4 after knocking off Auburn (the same Auburn that beat Alabama and Georgia).
• Wisconsin finishes at #5 after defeating Miami, and Oklahoma finishes at 6.
• Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conference:
• ACC: 1 // 3 
• Big Ten: 3 // 7
• Big 12: 1 // 4
• Pac 12: 0 // 3
• SEC: 3 // 6

Poll Comparison

• A lot of agreement between my final rankings and the human polls. The biggest difference really is that the human polls froze the top 4, while my ratings made no distinction and evaluated the teams based on one last data point.

Conference Comparison

• With a huge statement in the bowl games, the Big Ten jumped over the ACC (and so did SEC) and takes the #1 conference spot... despite being left out of the final four...

As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!