Tuesday, October 25, 2016

NCAA Football Ratings after Week 08

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings
Updated: Week 8, 24 OCT 2016
(Delta Calc'd from Week 7, 17 OCT 2016)
Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.

(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)

Notes:
  • The Buckeyes loss to #9 Penn St. drops them to #10 in this weeks ratings. (Last week, Penn St was at #24 in my ratings, while not even receiving any votes from the human polls).
    • Ohio State still controls it own destiny, championship included... It's just that the Buckeyes has zero margin for error now.
    • If the Buckeye win out, they will win the Big Ten East (yes, we will win tie-breakers against michigan and Penn St too, if necessary, assuming OSU wins out).
    • A one-loss OSU team that is also the Big Ten champion will get into the playoffs.
  • Texas A&M falls one spot to #4 after its loss to #1 Alabama
  • Appalachian State is up to #35 (see below)... look out michigan!
  • A relatively weak schedule to-date is keeping undefeated #11 Washington and  #15 Nebraska out of the top 10.

Poll Comparison
  • As noted above, my ratings do not have undefeated Washington nor Nebraska in the Top 10 due to their relatively weak SoS. As they move deeper into conference play (and assuming they win), they will see a bump in their ratings as they play higher quality opponents.
  • My ratings "punished" OSU's loss to (then #24) Penn St. more than the human polls, while at the same time, my ratings were more lenient to Texas A&M's loss to #1 Alabama.
  • Also, Penn St is #9 in my ratings while the human polls have them in the 20's.

For those of you with more of an appetite for ratings, here's #31-#60  (and if you want the whole list, including D-IAA (FCS), Div II, and/or Div III, just let me know!

3 comments:

  1. I agree with most of what you said about the Buckeyes, but technically we don't control our own destiny. If Penn State wins out and Michigan loses a game before playing OSU, us being Michigan would result in PSU winning the division. Unlikely, but possible, and out of our control. I agree though, if we do win out and win the Big Ten, we will be in the final 4. Go Bucks!

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  2. Good point. I hadn't thought about that possibility. As unlikely as it is, it is still possible, you are right.

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