Wednesday, November 16, 2022

NCAAF 2022 Rankings after Week 11

 NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings

Updated: Week 11, 15 NOV 2022
(Delta Calc'd from Week 10, 8 NOV 2022)
Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.


(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)


Notes:
  • Georgia retains the #1 spot, still by a comfortable margin, but the field closed the gap. Georgia gained 1.16 points this week, and the rest of the Top 10 averaged a 3.85 rating increase.
  • TCU jumps to #2 after defeating #21 Texas.
    • It should be noted that several SEC-toting, ESPN commentators have bashed undefeated TCU, saying "this isn't the same Big 12 that they are dominating, and don't deserve a spot in the Top 4."
    • This is objectively false, as you can see by my unbiased ratings. It's true that TCU doesn't have the Strength of Schedule (SoS) that many SEC teams do; however, they have accomplished more as an undefeated team than any 1-loss SEC team. As of now, before #4 Ohio State and #6 michigan play each other, TCU also has a better SoS than either of those teams... and there's no one arguing for an undefeated OSU or um to be left out of the playoffs
    • This just points out the necessity of unbiased ratings (like mine) to ground human perception and biases.
  • Notre Dame drops two spots to #17, despite beating #108 Navy.
  • #9 Utah cracks the Top 10, up four spots from last week
  • The SEC still dominates the top 10, owning four spots: #1 Georgia, #3 Tennessee, #5 LSU, and #7 Alabama.
  • This point is still true: The top teams in the Big Ten (#4 Ohio State, #6 Michigan, and #12 Penn St) are suffering from the poor performances of the rest of the Big Ten: they just aren't getting much credit for defeating those teams, and therefore their rating isn't as high as other teams with similar records.
    • Ohio State and Michigan have the 58th and 78th toughest Strength of Schedules (SoS) to date, respectively... by far the worst in the Top 10 (next lowest is USC's SoS at 45th)
    • This is also reflected in the conference rankings below.
  • Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conference:
    • ACC: 1 // 3 
    • Big 12: 1 // 4
    • Big Ten: 2 // 3
    • Pac 12: 2 // 6
    • SEC: 4 // 7
Poll Comparison



As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!

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