Monday, November 28, 2016

NCAAF Ratings after Week 13

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings
Updated: Week 13, 27 NOV 2016
(Delta Calc'd from Week 12, 20 NOV 2016)
Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.


(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)

A quick note about my ratings: I implemented an improvement between Weeks 12 and 13. I believe it was important enough to incorporate mid-season. For those interested: you can read the details here!

Notes:
  • #2 Ohio State defeats #4 Michigan to cement itself as the #2 team in my ratings. This is significant because I do not project any future conference champion (e.g. Clemson, Washington, Wisconsin, Penn St, etc..) jumping the Buckeyes after the conference championship games next week. OSU gained 7.46 points after beating Michigan (keep in mind, other factors affect that increase, such as all of OSU's opponents change in ratings, etc.). Clemson will not get nearly that after defeating #23 Virginia Tech, and they are the closest team to OSU, sitting at #3 nearly 12 points behind. #5 Washington has a tougher opponent in #7 Colorado. However, they are even further behind (~15 points).
  • Michigan lost so little points due the loss to #2 Ohio State that the positive affects of Michigan's opponents ratings on its own were greater than the penalty for losing to OSU and actually gained 0.27 points.
    • This is not a real reward by any means, considering all the teams around Michigan gained at least 2.5 points.
  • With the rest contenders closing the gap on #4 Michigan, I do not project that Michigan will be in the Top 4 after next week's games.
  • Washington's win over #22 Washington State bumped them to #5, jumping Penn State.
  • Undefeated Western Michigan finally ends their skid in my rankings (despite not losing!) by beating their second Top 60 team (#55 Toledo), jumping to #15.
  • Florida State cracks my Top 10 after defeating #12 Florida.
  • #13 Oklahoma is the only Big 12 team ranked in the Top 25
  • The Big Ten still occupies 4 of the Top 6 rankings.
  • Three AAC (American Athletic Conference) teams are ranked in my Top 25: #14 Navy, #16 South Florida, and #25 Houston
  • Here's a look at the four major conference championships next Saturday:
    • #6 Penn St vs #8 Wisconsin
    • #1 Alabama vs #12 Florida
    • #5 Washington vs #7 Colorado
    • #3 Clemson vs #23 Virginia Tech
  • Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conferences:
    • ACC: 2 // 5 
    • Big Ten: 4 // 5
    • Big 12: 0 // 1
    • Pac 12: 3 // 5
    • SEC: 1 // 5
Poll Comparison


As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!

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