Sunday, November 19, 2017

NCAAF 2017 Rankings after Week 12

NCAA Football Top 25 Rankings
Updated: Week 12, 19 NOV 2017
(Delta Calc'd from Week 11, 13 NOV 2017)
Some of these rankings my surprise you, but keep in mind that there is no bias towards any team or preconceived notions, and the only thing considered is what each team has accomplished so far.





(For those viewing from a phone, tap the rankings and rotate to enlarge)


An IMPORTANT NOTE about my ratings: My ratings are completely objective, meaning that they have no biases and are completely statistical. Due to this, when you have an incomplete data set (or an incomplete season), some anomalies can appear. Teams like UCF and Memphis can appear overrated due to the fact they have a good record and, in some cases, have played better competition than the teams ranked just below them. I expect that this will straightened itself out. As the Power 5 conference schools get into the meat of their conference schedules, we will see them gain more credit for wins than UCF and Memphis. Also, as more data become available (more game completed), we will learn more about their opponents. Because my rankings are iterative, this will factor into their rating as well. Bottom line: The dangers of releasing a completely statistical rating system are that you may have some outliers. And that's ok... it will correct itself over time.

Notes:
  • #7 UCF?  See my Important Note (above). You will see, however, that UCF had a negative delta rating once again this week, despite winning. This is will continue to occur as the rating system gains more data on their opponents and continues to adjust UCF's ratings accordingly (this is the self-correction I refer to as more data becomes available).
  • Ohio State drops to #11 after defeating #109 Illinois. No fault for OSU here, just other teams either playing better competition (USC) or more favorable information about their previous competition (Auburn) that caused their rating to increase more than OSU's did. In fact, the slightly net-negative information from OSU's previous opponent accounted for more than the small positive they got from defeating Illinois, hence the drop in rating from last week despite winning.
  • Miami retains the top spot and Wisconsin jumps to #2 after beating #20 michigan.
  • Alabama is now ranked #3, followed by #4 Notre Dame.
  • Notable Rivalry Week Showdown (rankings shown reflect my current standings):
    • #1 Miami @ #83 Pitt
    • #2 Wisconsin @ #73 Minnesota
    • #3 Alabama @ #10 Auburn
    • #4 Notre Dame @ #16 Stanford
    • #5 Georgia @ #47 Georgia Tech
    • #6 Clemson @ #24 South Carolina
    • #44 West Virginia @ #8 Oklahoma
    • #11 Ohio State @ #20 michigan
  • Top 10 // Top 25  Teams for each conference:
    • ACC: 2 // 3 
    • Big Ten: 1 // 7
    • Big 12: 1 // 2
    • Pac 12: 1 // 4
    • SEC: 3 // 6
Poll Comparison


Conference Comparison

As always, please leave questions/comments below! If you would like to see more than just the Top 25, or any ratings for Div I-AA, Div-II, or Div-III, just let me know!

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